Mortgage approvals stumble again in January

Mortgage approvals shrank again in January to the lowest level since February 2009, reveals the e.surv mortgage monitor.

Related topics:  Mortgages
Millie Dyson
3rd February 2011
Mortgages
39,905 mortgages were approved in January, 6.2% fewer than in December, and 17.4% fewer than in January 2010.

The remortgage market also declined. After suffering its first month on month fall in December since June, volumes fell 5.2% month on month in January.

29,000 remortgages were approved during the month, slightly below the average of the previous six months, but still well ahead of the extremely low levels a year ago (up 17.9%).

Purchase volumes fell by a similar amount across all price bands up to £750,000.  Above this level, volumes fell somewhat faster in January. Nevertheless volumes in the most expensive price brackets have held up much better than the overall market since the crunch began.

Richard Sexton, business development director of e.surv said:

“The weather has been shouldering the blame for everything lately, but even mortgage approvals have suffered.  Far fewer people were able to get out and about house-hunting in December with snow disrupting travel or simply offering something more fun to do at the weekend. As a result, fewer applications for mortgages were made and that has led to a sharp dip in approvals.

"But this has merely exacerbated the underlying weakening trend in the housing market.  As the economy has slowed, so too has the appetite to move home. House prices are flat or falling slightly so prospective buyers feel less inclined to rush ahead with buying a new home.

"A similar fall across all price brackets supports this view. At the same time, lenders pulled back from the market in December and January after a very strong November when there had been a bit of a competitive flurry to meet annual lending targets.

"The initial signs are the February will show some improvement – the month has got off to a much stronger start. The remortgage market also paused for breath as people began to feel interest rate increases were less likely in the light of the sharply slowdown in the economy.

"We think this is most likely a temporary phenomenon and that remortgage volumes will start to pick up again as we move towards the summer and people seek to lock in their mortgages at low rates.”

Despite the drop in volumes, the average loan-to-value ratio in January remained at the highest level since May 2008 – 58.9% on mortgages for home purchase.  Remortgages rose slightly to 51.8% LTV, broadly in line with the average for the last year.

Richard Sexton, added:

“Mortgage volumes may be disappointing, but LTVs are holding up well.  This suggests lending criteria are not getting any tighter, even if demand has begun to ebb away again.”

David Brown, commercial director of LSL Property Services, comments:

“The winter figures for lending unsurprisingly paint a fairly gloomy picture given the impact of the weather. It’s clear that many lenders are still focussing on repayments to the government rather on higher loan to value new lending to first-time buyers. But there are some brighter spots.

"There are signs that buy-to-let lending is beginning to loosen up, with a wider range of products recently coming onto the market  demonstrating the lenders view that this market is one they want to support.

"We expect Demand for rental accommodation will continue to remain robust throughout 2011, and with rents still close to an all-time high, many believe buy-to-let presents a lucrative long-term investment opportunity.

"As depressed levels of lending continue to hamper the number of first-time buyers able to get onto the property ladder, the private rental sector will play an increasingly pivotal role in the housing market.”
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