Nationwide: house price growth to accelerate in 2016

House prices increased by 0.3% in January, while annual house price growth remained stable at 4.4%, according to the latest Nationwide house price index.

Related topics:  Finance News
Rozi Jones
27th January 2016
2016 calendar

Annual house price growth has remained in a fairly narrow range between 3% and 5% since the summer of 2015, according to Nationwide's data.

However Nationwide's Chief Economist expects a 'modest acceleration' in price growth in 2016, as demand rises.

Robert Gardner said:

“As we look ahead, the risks are skewed towards a modest acceleration in house price growth, at least at the national level. The labour market appears to have significant forward momentum. Employment has continued to rise at a robust rate in recent months and, while the pace of earnings growth has slowed somewhat, in inflation-adjusted terms regular wages continue to rise at a healthy pace.

“With this trend expected to continue and with interest rates also likely to stay on hold for longer than previously anticipated, the demand for homes is likely to strengthen in the months ahead.

“The concern remains that construction activity will lag behind strengthening demand, putting upward pressure on house prices and eventually reducing affordability. Indeed, the market is already characterised by a shortage of stock, with the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors reporting that the number of properties on estate agents’ books remains close to all-time lows.”

Adrian Whittaker, Sales Director, New Street Mortgages, commented:

“Yet again these figures show an unseasonal increase in house prices resulting from a market that is characterised by rising demand and limited supply.

“The mortgage industry has been slow to keep up with new technology, and if we are to satisfy the demand for faster mortgage applications and adapt to the rising competitiveness of the market, it is crucial that as an industry we look to keep systems and processes up to date.”

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