CML: Arrears fall, repossessions remain stable

The number of properties taken into possession by mortgage lenders in the third quarter of 2011 was 9,200, virtually unchanged from 9,100 in the second quarter, report the CML.

Related topics:  Mortgages
Millie Dyson
10th November 2011
Mortgages
The number of repossessions in the quarter equated to 0.08% of all mortgages. This has been the same for five of the last six quarters, with the exception of the fourth quarter of 2010, which experienced a typical seasonal dip, to 0.07%.

So far this year, a total of 27,500 properties have been taken into possession - 4% fewer than in the equivalent period last year. It now appears likely that the total number of repossessions in 2011 will be lower than the CML's forecast of 40,000.

There was a slight fall in the number of households in arrears with their mortgage across all categories.

At the end of September, the total number of mortgages with arrears of 2.5% or more of the outstanding balance fell to 161,600 (1.44% of all loans), down 2% from 165,200 (1.47% of all loans) and 8% lower than the 175,100 cases (1.55% of all loans) at the end of September 2010.

Despite these improvements there is still a stock of cases with significant arrears: 27,300 loans have arrears of more than 10% of the outstanding balance.

In addition, the squeeze on household budgets as a result of falling real incomes, cost of living rises and increasing unemployment will negatively affect households, and could lead to increased arrears in the coming quarters.

Extended forbearance by lenders has clearly been successful to date in keeping the vast majority of households facing payment difficulty in their homes, but ongoing pressures remain and the economic backdrop represents a significant challenge to the recent improving trend in arrears.

CML director general, Paul Smee, commented:

"The fall in the number of mortgages in arrears, and the stable picture on repossessions, are testament not only to the beneficial effects of low interest rates, but also to effective arrears management, and good communication between lenders, borrowers and debt counselling organisations.

"Against the backdrop of widespread financial uncertainty sweeping both the UK and the wider European economies, it is impossible to be sanguine about the future influences that households may face.

"But lenders will do their utmost to help borrowers keep their homes, whatever pressures emerge. Anyone worried about their mortgage should seek early advice and talk to their lender: these figures firmly show that repossession does not have to be an inevitable consequence of mortgage arrears."

Paul Hunt, managing director of Phoebus Software said:

“Flat possessions over the last quarter are a triumph of clear and effective communication between borrowers and lenders. In the three months to August, the total number of unemployed people in the UK grew by 4.7%, but that hasn’t translated into a rise in repossessions.

"Partly, this is a result of many borrowers taking advantage of the extremely low rates currently available on the market. But another important factor has been borrowers’ willingness and capacity for forbearance on arrears.

"A growing emphasis on servicing functions which are able to quickly identify borrowers likely to have a problem before arrears get out of hand means lenders have had growing success in navigating mortgage borrowers through choppy economic waters.”

David Brown, commercial director of LSL Property Services comments:

“Record low interest rates have played a crucial role in keeping a lid on both arrears and possessions.

"Historically low monthly mortgage payments have helped thousands of households absorb the impact of spiralling inflation, and helped the housing market withstand the initial effect of public sector job cuts.

"A change in behaviour from lenders has also prevented escalating figures, with the government encouraging lender forbearance to help borrowers manage arrears – whether by extending the term of loan, moving borrowers from repayment to interest only mortgages or encouraging alternative solutions like assisted voluntary sales to ensure that repossessions remain a last resort.

"Nevertheless, while the CML may have underestimated the total of arrears likely to occur in 2011, with the economy showing little sign of springing back into life, and unemployment steadily rising, we anticipate that arrears and possession will rise - and that's without the impact an interest rates hike would undoubtedly have when it eventually comes.”
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