Mortgage affordability improves to hit decade high

UK mortgages have reached their most affordable level in a decade, with payments now accounting for less than a third (29%) of homeowners’ disposable income, according to Halifax research.

Related topics:  Mortgages
Rozi Jones
19th March 2018
pound money house mortgage growth
"Improved mortgage affordability has been a key factor supporting housing demand and helping to stimulate the modest recovery that we are currently seeing."

This compares to 48% in 2007 and means mortgage affordability levels for first-time buyers and homemovers have dropped by 40% since the 2007 peak.

Average repayments are now comfortably below the long-term average of 35%, remaining low due to a further dip in mortgage rates during 2017 from an average of 2.09% in Q1 to 1.98% in Q4.

There have been significant improvements in affordability in almost all local authority districts since 2007, with mortgage payments falling by at least 30% as a proportion of average earnings in 35 areas.

The greatest improvements were mostly in Northern Ireland, where affordability has improved due to a significant fall in house prices, which are now 44% lower than in 2007.

Scotland and the North West have an equal share of the 10 most affordable local authority districts in the UK, while the 10 least affordable areas are predominantly in London and the South East.

Brent and Haringey are the least affordable places in the country with average mortgage payments on a new mortgage loan, accounting for 61% of average local disposable earnings, followed by Harrow (58%) and Elmbridge (56%).

Whilst the comparison of mortgage affordability over the last 10 years shows a vast improvement, when looking only over a five-year period, affordability – on this measure – has actually deteriorated. Whilst the average mortgage rate has fallen from 3.7% in 2012 to 1.98% at the end of 2017, average house prices have grown by 40% in the same period.

As a result, 89 LADs have seen mortgage affordability as proportion of disposable earnings rise by at least 5%. In Elmbridge in the South East, this measure has deteriorated from 34% to 56% with an average of 22% more disposable earnings devoted to mortgage payments.

The Surrey district is followed by Merton (33% to 52%) and Hillingdon (38% to 56%). However, there are areas where mortgage affordability has improved since 2012; in Torridge in North Devon, this ratio has fallen from 45% to 35% and similarly in Ceredigion (40% to 31%).

Andy Bickers, Mortgage Director at Halifax, said: "This is a real boost for both those who already have a mortgage and those preparing to take their first step on to the property ladder. Improved mortgage affordability has been a key factor supporting housing demand and helping to stimulate the modest recovery that we are currently seeing.

"In recent months we have seen the number of first-time buyers and homemovers purchasing a home with a mortgage bounce back towards 2007 levels, and mortgage payments becoming a much smaller proportion of disposable income across most of the country will also support a heathy market with more choice and opportunity for buyers/borrowers.”

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